Uganda #1 in Africa – Powered by Canephora

Canephora Drives Uganda’s Rise to the Top

In May 2025, Uganda shipped 47,606.7 t of coffee (+43.6% YoY rise!), overtaking Ethiopia’s 43,481 t to become Africa’s top exporter.

What seems like a small change holds big symbolic value and can be understood as a signal for future coffee production. How did this happen?

Production share Arabica and Canephora in Ethiopia and Uganda
Production share Arabica and Canephora in Ethiopia and Uganda

Uganda’s Canephora-heavy exports—about 80–85% of its coffee—have now overtaken Ethiopia’s nearly all-Arabica shipments in volume. This Canephora strength gives Uganda greater climate resilience and market growth potential, while Ethiopia’s dominance in Arabica faces higher climate risks and slower production expansion. Even though the shift reflects a complex interplay of agronomic conditions, policy frameworks, infrastructure improvements, and evolving global demand for Robusta, the symbolic value is big: Africas most econic Arabica origin produces less coffee than Africas most econic Canephora origin.

Uganda has become Africa’s epicenter for Coffea canephora knowledge: In 2009, it became the birthplace of the Q Robusta Grader program supported by the Uganda Coffee Development Authority and the CQI. Since then, it has been hosting certified Q Robusta training—originally developed here—and advanced sensory labs through the UCDA. As one of the very few countries with active Q Robusta Graders in Africa – where Canephora origins – its role is truly unique.

Global Distribution of Q Robusta Graders (Harbig, L. 2025, retrived from CQI Database March 31, 2025)

And Uganda is another record holder: It is one of only two countries holding more Q Robusta Graders (31) than Q Arabica Graders (18) besides Cambodia. Its Ratio of Q Robusta Grader to Q Arabica Grader is not linear to its own production, but exceeds the global species ratio of Canephora to Arabica production (1:1.69) most of all Q Robusta Grader holding countries, making it the country which has most bet on Q Robusta Grader capacitation. Yet, the future of Canephora-specific education is uncertain, as the SCA’s takeover of CQI raises questions about sustaining Canephora-focused programs.

Formula to calculate a balanced National Grader per Species Ratio Alignment to Global Production per Species Ratio

National Grader per Species Ratio Alignment to Global Production per Species Ratio (Harbig, L. 2025. Only countries holding >1 active Q Robusta Graders. Data retrived from CQI database on March 31st, 2025)

In Uganda, around 1.3–1.7 million households grow coffee, with roughly 85% classified as smallholders farming less than two hectares. These family-run plots form the base of the country’s production, particularly in Coffea canephora cultivation and export.

Uganda’s Roots of Canephora

Uganda’s Canephora gene pool is both unique and connected to broader African diversity, making it a critical reservoir for conservation and coffee improvement. However, some cultivated and feral populations differ genetically from wild ones, highlighting the need to preserve natural diversity alongside breeding programs as the country increases its production.

Pham et al. 2021, p. 8

Climate Change menaces Uganda’s wild and domesticated Canephora

Rising temperatures and erratic rainfall threaten Uganda’s Coffea canephora, reducing suitable growing areas and increasing pest and disease pressure. Climate models project significant yield declines without adaptive measures, putting both smallholder livelihoods and Canephora’s unique genetic resources at risk.

Will Uganda hold its position as #1 African coffee exporter? The future will show us. In any case, it looks like Uganda’s Canephora power could pose a strategic advantage in changing times.

SOURCES

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    • FurtherAfrica. (2025, June 27). Uganda becomes Africa’s top coffee exporter, surpassing Ethiopia. FurtherAfrica. Retrieved from https://furtherafrica.com/2025/06/27/uganda-becomes-africas-top-coffee-exporter-surpassing-ethiopia/

    • Intelligence Coffee. (2025, July). Uganda now Africa’s top coffee exporter. Intelligence Coffee. Retrieved from https://intelligence.coffee/2025/07/uganda-now-africas-top-coffee-exporter/

    • Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries, Uganda. (2025, June 24). Uganda outpaces Ethiopia: Record coffee exports herald a new era at World of Coffee Geneva 2025. Retrieved from https://www.agriculture.go.ug/2025/06/24/uganda-outpaces-ethiopia-record-coffee-exports-herald-a-new-era-at-world-of-coffee-geneva-2025/

    • Uganda Broadcasting Corporation. (2025, June 24). Uganda surpasses Ethiopia to lead Africa in coffee exports. Retrieved from https://ubc.go.ug/2025/06/24/uganda-surpasses-ethiopia-to-lead-africa-in-coffee-exports/

    • Ethiopian Business Review. (2025). Uganda tops Ethiopia in monthly coffee exports for first time. Retrieved from https://ethiopianbusinessreview.net/uganda-tops-ethiopia-in-monthly-coffee-exports-for-first-time/

    • Global Coffee Report. (2025, May 26). Ethiopia claims historic export milestone. Retrieved from https://www.gcrmag.com/ethiopia-claims-historic-export-milestone/

    • Coffee Quality Institute. (2025, March 31). Q Arabica Graders [Database record]. Coffee Quality Institute.

    • Coffee Quality Institute. (2025, August 10). Q Robusta Graders [Database record]. Coffee Quality Institute.

    • Pham, T. T., Jackson, M. C., & Ochieng, J. (2021). Impacts of climate change on Uganda’s coffee production: A multi-model assessment of future suitability for Coffea arabica and Coffea canephora. PLOS ONE, 16(1), e0245965. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245965

Lukas Harbig Portrait
Lukas Harbig
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